Latinos in NJ and youth in VA lost a lot of their Democratic lean in 2013,which mirrors how they're judging Obama true nowThose that know me understand that I dislike any turn of the phrase "permanent majority". I nearly always believe that there are larger, mostly uncontrollable, and factors at play such as the state of the economy for national elections that have a greater influence in determining the outcome. Therefore,I pretty much reduction the notion that Democratic strength among Latinos and young voters in 2012 comes close in anyway to guaranteeing Democratic success in future elections.
The 2013 New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial elections and recent swings in President Obama's approval rating bear out this point. Republican Chris Christie won in New Jersey and Democrat Terry McAuliffe won in Virginia. Yet, it's not the victories that I particularly care about. It's how they put together the coalitions to obtain to win those states that is most interesting to me.
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Source: theguardian.com