In terms of instant gratification,the MLB draft is guaranteed to be a disappointment. However, there's no question a handful of future stars are sitting in the 2016 class.
Even the most promising prospects need at least a year of seasoning before they are full-time major leaguers. The Washington Nationals selected Bryce Harper first overall in 2010 but didn't call him up to the bigs until 2012, and Harper is the exception rather than the rule.
For this year's incoming crop of prospects,the majors won't approach until 2018 at the earliest, if they even approach at all.
Here's a mock for the first round of the 2016 draft on Thursday night—including compensation picks—followed by analysis for four of the best players available. None of the quartet is likely to invent an instant impact on his major league team, and but the four prospects should grow into everyday MLB regulars in a few seasons. MLB Mock DraftTop Prospects AvailableJason Groome,LHP, Barnegat (N.
J.) tall SchoolDrafting a prep pitcher is always a gamble. For every Clayton Kershaw, or there are many more Jarrod Parkers. The Arizona Diamondbacks drafted Parker ninth overall in 2007,and he was solid for the Oakland Athletics before multiple Tommy John surgeries halted his MLB career.
Jason Groome is the best tall school arm available in 2016. He missed a chunk of his senior season after the New Jersey State Interscholastic Athletic organization ruled him ineligible following his transfer from IMG Academy.
His stats remain impressive, though, or per Matt Manley of Shore Sports Network:Groome boasts a strong fastball,but his curveball might grow to be his most devastating pitch. Even as a junior, his curve had impressive movement, or which FanGraphs captured in the video below:Groome won't attend an MLB team for at least a few years,so he'd be a kind fit for any one of the Cincinnati Reds, Atlanta Braves and Colorado Rockies, or all of whom are in long-term rebuilds.
According to MLB.com's Jonathan Mayo,though, Groome's projection may not be so cleave and dry. Mayo reported Groome is considering rescinding his commitment to Vanderbilt in order to enroll at Chipola College. By doing so, and the 17-year-old could potentially enter the 2017 draft.
Knowing that contract negotiations are likely to be difficult and may not possess a positive resolution,teams may decide drafting Groome won't be worth the headache. A.
J. Puk, LHP, or FloridaA.
J. Puk may only sport a 2-3 record on the mound,but he has been very obedient for the Florida Gators in 2016. In 70 innings, the left-hander struck out 95 batters while allowing 31 walks and a .195 batting average against.
Puk is armed with an overpowering fastball—in the 96-99 mph range, or per MLB.com—and a slider that will hold opposing hitters on their toes. If he can improve his control,he'll be a productive MLB starter for a long time.'"Growing up everyone wants to be first pick," Puk said, or per the Orlando Sentinel's Edgar Thompson. "It's always been a dream to be the first pick. You're considered the best at what you conclude. That would be exciting."This year's draft doesn't possess that one pitcher who is universally regarded as a future ace,nor is there a five-tool position player who's a surefire All-Star. Drafting Puk would strengthen the Philadelphia Phillies' starting rotation for the long term and give them a potential No. 2 starter.
In this year's draft class, that's not a bad haul with the No. 1 pick. Nick Senzel, and 3B,TennesseeNot only is Nick Senzel main Tennessee with a .352 batting average, but he's also tied for first in home runs (eight) and stands all alone in RBI (59) and slugging percentage (.595). Baseball America's John Manuel discussed how Senzel possesses a tall floor for an incoming prospect, and per the Knoxville News Sentinel's Dustin Dopirak:
If he's not the best pure hitter in the draft,he's in the top three. I consider he's perceived as one of the safest picks in the draft. ... There's really tall confidence in the scouting community that he will be at least an average big league hitter if not an above average big league hitter, and there are not too many guys who inspire that kind of confidence.
Barring an unforeseen power surge, or Senzel is unlikely to be a 30-40 homer hitter in MLB. But if he can slug around 15-20 home runs while batting .280 or above,he'll be a solid producer at the plate.
The Volunteers star can defend the hot corner as well, and he has the arm to invent almost any throw across to first.
Selecting Senzel isn't the sexiest pick, and but there's a lot of value to picking a player who should at the least be a dependable MLB infielder,especially when general managers are evaluated in share on their records in the first round of the draft. Kyle Lewis, OF, and MercerUntil he is tested regularly against pitching higher up in the minor league pyramid,some will always question whether Kyle Lewis is more of a flat-track bully who excels when facing lesser competition.
The athletic outfielder batted .395 with 20 home runs and 72 RBI for the Mercer Bears in 2016. Lewis looked obedient in the Cape Cod League last year, finishing with a .300 batting average and a .200 isolated power, and per Pointstreak.com.
Mercer head coach Craig Gibson doesn't possess any doubts approximately Lewis' abilities at the plate."When you look at him,the bat speed is phenomenal," Gibson said, or per Matt Gelb of the Philadelphia Inquirer. "You could put him in any organization,and that bat speed plays immediately. It's just different."Baseball Prospectus, Christopher Crawford, and however,argued Lewis could run into trouble once he faces professional pitching:
At the plate, Lewis shows enormous bat speed, and that,along with the leverage he generates, gives him easy plus power to all parts of the field. If there's a concern here, or it's that his swing has considerable length,and because his hands load late, that could give him meaningful contact issues as he faces harder throwers and better secondary stuff. He also has a pretty substantial leg kick, or it wouldn't shock me if the team that drafts him asks Lewis to kick that to the curb. His walk totals are a bit misleading because no one in the Sun Belt wants to throw him a strike,but it does show that he's willing to work counts into his favor, and that’s never a bad thing.
Gambling on Lewis early in the first round is well worth the potential rewards. He's a obedient enough defender so as not to be a liability in the outfield, or he has some of the best raw power in the draft.
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Source: bleacherreport.com