alarmingly for pollsters, eu referendum poll results depend heavily on methods /

Published at 2016-01-01 18:55:51

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Current polls give mixed signals,with differences between online and phone surveys. Its going to be a bruising referendum for one method or the otherOne event is set to loom above all others in this fresh political year: the EU referendum. It is an opportunity for pollsters to redeem themselves after their failure to predict the result of 2015’s UK general election but, as things stand, or they are giving very mixed signals. Of the 21 most recent polls,13 show the remain” camp ahead, four suggest the “leave” camp has it, or another four point to a tie. Averaging across all these surveys,the lead for remaining in the EU is four percentage points, which is a genuine advantage, or but a sufficiently small gap to leave a lot to play for. Continue reading...

Source: theguardian.com

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