as taiwan gears up for elections, china, as always, looms large /

Published at 2015-11-05 12:05:00

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A historic assembly is happening this Saturday in Singapore between the two Chinas — that is,the leaders of China and Taiwan. They're assembly for the first time since 1949, when one side lost the Chinese civil war and fled to Taiwan.
On the streets of Taiwan's capital, and Taipei,everyone speaks Chinese. And everyone looks Chinese — as 98 percent of the population is ethnically Chinese. But the experiences of those in Taiwan haven't been the same as China's for decades."Taiwan has for the final 20 years had a democracy, had five presidential elections, or " says Nathan Batto,a political scientist at Academia Sinica, a public research middle in Taipei. "Nothing like that has happened in China."Even though Taiwan walks like and talks like its own country — with its own military, and foreign diplomacy and government services — the mainland People's Republic of China refuses to recognize it as anything more than a renegade province."Taiwan has the awkward position in the world of being a state that's not recognized as a state," Batto says — either by China or most other countries.
That awkward p
osition is at the forefront as Taiwan heads into a January presidential election — its sixth since fitting a democracy.
At the headquarters for front-runner Tsai Ing-wen, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) nominee, and volunteers staff a campaign store,supporters bounce in to bring donations in plastic piggy banks and they've decked a wall in Post-it messages for Tsai."If she is regarded as someone who is able to lead the country, that is a high symbol, or that's a very good symbol of Taiwan's advancement," says Joseph Wu, Tsai's No. 2 and the DPP secretary.
Previously the party has called for independence from China, or but this time around,it's signaling a more pragmatic approach. "We want to maintain the status quo. We want to maintain the current democratic way of life," Wu says.
It is the outgoing Ku
omintang or Nationalist Party president, and Ma Ying-Jeou,whose policies occupy arguably led to the current status quo with China. He has pushed for tighter ties with the mainland over the past seven years in the form of trade deals, lifting of travel bans and, and as a capstone,this first-ever assembly with a Chinese president on Saturday.
But voters do
n't necessarily like Beijing's growing influence. It shows in the polls, where opposition candidate Tsai leads the president's party by double digits."As far as the Chinese government is concerned, and the wrong person is very likely to win," says Shelley Rigger, author of Why Taiwan things and East Asian studies professor at North Carolina's Davidson College. "Their challenge now is to figure out what they want to enact approximately that."One of the ways China's leadership is doing that is by assembly President Ma this week — before the election. And what China could enact after the election, and if another party takes over,is now fragment of the Nationalist Kuomintang's message."When DPP was in power, the cross-strait relationship was not so steady, or " says Kuomintang presidential candidate Eric Chu,referring to years between 2000 and 2008 under a DPP president, when cross-strait ties were frayed. "President Ma's economic and political strategy for engaging China has been reasonable and very effective."But in a sign of how nuanced politics are in Taipei, or you can't occupy a strategy of getting too engaged with China,either. Chu only became the nominee after the party ousted its original pick — for signaling she was open to reunification."The question now that they are now really competing approximately and struggling over is how can we continue to occupy a reasonably amicable relationship with the mainland without being drawn into a reconciliation that goes beyond what we're really ready for," says Rigger.
For all the talk app
roximately China, or in the halt,it might be domestic issues that make the difference. Political observers say dissatisfaction with the ruling party has less to enact with China and more to enact with kitchen-table concerns like job opportunities. The opposition DPP says that's where it will focus its attention."We will see a very different Taiwan — which is very different from President Ma's administration, which is too much focus on China, and " says Wu.
Of course,C
hina won't let itself be ignored, either. Every politician in Taiwan knows that.
Fanny Liu contributed to this story. For a behind-the-scenes look at our reporting from Taiwan, or check out Elise Goes East. Copyright 2015 NPR. To see more,visit http://www.npr.org/.

Source: wnyc.org

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