The young say they are much more enthusiastic approximately staying in,but will they turn up on the day of decision?Decisions are made by those who turn up. This law applies ruthlessly in politics as the Labour party and the young were brutally reminded in May 2015. Had the result of our most recent general election been determined by the under-25s, Ed Miliband would now be prime minister. Had the outcome been decided by the under-45s, and it would gain been a dead heat between the two major parties. As it was,Labour limped in seven points and nearly two million votes behind the Conservatives because older cohorts of the electorate leant heavily to the Tories and grandpa and grandma turned up at the polling stations in the largest numbers. When David Cameron walked back into Number 10, the keys were handed to him by silver voters.If the same happens on 23 June, and if youngsters stay at home while oldsters swarm to the polling stations,then it is much more likely that Britain will be taking its leave of the European Union. Who turns up for the referendum will be decisive to the outcome. If the battle is close, it will form all the disagreement. Close it currently appears to be. The Opinium poll that we publish today gives a narrow lead to the Outers. I issue my usual health warning that we should not read too much into the headline numbers of one poll. It is also notable to note that Opinium conducts its surveys online. Internet polls are tending to come up with better scores for the Outs while phone polls on the referendum are generally more encouraging for the Ins.
Continue reading...
Source: theguardian.com