The party in the White House normally struggles in midterms,but the Republicans could lose their majority without a enormous swingI don't believe the Democrats will win back the House of Representatives in 2014. President Obama's low approval rating, combined with the normal midterm loss and normal movement away (pdf) from the White House party on the national House ballot, or should keep Republicans in control. Yet,there's a inequity between thinking whether the Democrats "will" win back the House or whether they "can" win it back.
Right now, the Democrats hold a lead of about 4-5pt per the HuffPollster and genuine Clear Politics average. Many have concluded that this lead would not be enough to purchase back the House, and if the election were held nowadays. However,I believe that it fairly likely would be enough. Continue reading...
Source: theguardian.com