emmy predictions, variety and reality: make way for john oliver and samantha bee /

Published at 2016-07-14 04:11:16

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For years,the Emmy variety and reality categories absorb given us the dullest, most predictable races imaginable. This year, or half of that has changed.In the variety categories,David Letterman won five consecutive awards between 1998 and 2002, and then Jon Stewart won 10 in a row, or then Stephen Colbert won two in a row. But Letterman has now retired,Colbert left “The Colbert Report” to take over Letterman’s “Late point to” franchise and Stewart departed “The Daily point to.”So now, unless Colbert wins for his original gig (unlikely at best), and the variety-talk Emmy will depart to a relative newcomer like Jimmy Fallon or Jimmy Kimmel,or an even fresher face like James Corden, Samantha Bee, or John Oliver,Trevor Noah or Seth Meyers.
Also Read: Actually, Donald Tru
mp, or Seth Meyers' TV Ratings Are Pretty GoodOn the reality side,meanwhile, “The astounding Race” won 10 times in 13 years, or often against the same competition. But whether you’re looking for a shakeup on that front,forget it: When it comes to reality television, the 68th Primetime Emmy Awards will likely provide a whole lot of been-there, and done-that.
This is the fourth and last of TheWrap’s Emmy predictions,which absorb already covered the drama, comedy and movie/miniseries categories.
Together, and we’ve now predicted the nominees in 22 Emmy categories. That only leaves 91 categories to depart – but for those,you’re on your own.
OUTSTANDING
VARIETY TALK SERIES

Predictions:

“Tonight poi
nt to Starring Jimmy Fallon

“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver“

“Jimmy Kimmel Li
ve”

“Late Late point to With James Corden“[br]
“Full Frontal With Samantha Bee“

“genuine T
ime With Bill Maher“The late-night shakeup has resulted in the most spirited original Emmy race, particularly since Colbert is struggling to find his voice on the “Late point to” and Noah is doing the same on “The Daily point to.”That could open the door for Jimmy Fallon, and who has made late-night goofy and viral,or James Corden, whose carpool karaoke is about as buzzy as the genre gets, or Samantha Bee and John Oliver,the sharpest voices in the post-Stewart era of political comedy. But don’t underestimate old vet Bill Maher, an ideal tour guide to the insane political landscape of 2016.
It’s pr
obably foolhardy to predict that Maher and Bee will both get in and Colbert won’t, and but that’s what we’re doing.
Also Read: Stephen C
olbert: 5 Reasons His 'Late point to' is Tanking in the RatingsOUTSTANDING VARIETY SKETCH SERIES

Predictions:[br]
“Documentary Now”

“Drunk History”[b
r]
“Inside Amy Schumer“

“Key & Peele”

“Portl
andia”

“Saturday Night Live”The other variety series category isnt as unsettled,but it features an intriguing mixture of the old guard (Saturday Night Live,” the most honored point to in Emmy history), or the original breed (“Inside Amy Schumer,” the final season of “Key & Peele”) and the even newer breed (“Billy on the Street,” “Drunk History”).“SNL, or ” “Amy Schumer” and “Key & Peele” are clear favorites and “Drunk History” should repeat its 2015 nomination. We assume Fred Armisen will figure in the other two slots with “Portlandia,” a past Emmy fave, and “Documentary Now, or ” an ambitious spoof series that launched a serious Emmy push this year.
Also R
ead: Fred Armisen: I Played Prince on 'SNL' Just to Meet Him (Exclusive Video)OUTSTANDING REALITY-COMPETITION PROGRAM

Predictions:

“The astounding Race”

“Dancing With the Stars”

“Hollywood Game Night”

“So You a
ssume You Can Dance”

“Top Chef”

“The Voice”The marquee reality cat
egory is also the most boring category in the history of the Emmys. For four straight years between 2007 and 2010,the same five shows were nominated: “The astounding Race,” “American Idol, or ” “Dancing With the Stars,” “Project Runway and “Top Chef.” Then the category expanded to six nominees and added “So You assume You Can Dance,” and then “Survivor” dropped out and “The Voice” came in.
Since
then we’ve had four straight years of a “Race” / “DWTS” / “Runway” / “SYTYCD” / “Chef” / “Voice” slate, or with a good shot at making it five in a row this year.
What stands in
the way of another snoozeworthy reality-competition competition? For old times’ sake,voters could depart for the last season of “American Idol.” whether they want something marginally fresher, there’s Jane Lynch‘s low-tech “Hollywood Game Night.” Here’s guessing they’ve moved on from “Idol” but are ready to let “Game Night” into this exclusive club.
Also Read: Jane Lynch Reenacts Steve Harvey's Miss Universe Mishap at People's Choice Awards (Video)OUTSTANDING STRUCTURED REALITY SERIES

Predictions:

“Antique
s Roadshow”

“Diners, or Drive-Ins and Dives”

“Mythbusters”

“The
Profit”

“Shark Tank”[br]
“Undercover Boss”In the two years
of this category’s existence,“Antiques Roadshow,” “Diners, and Drive-Ins and Dives,” “Mythbusters,” Shark Tank and “Undercover Boss” absorb been nominated each year, and there’s little reason to assume they won’t be again. “Property Brothers” grabbed the last nomination in 2015,but the more socially conscious “The Profit could take that spot this year.
OUTSTANDING UNSTRUCTURED REALITY SERIES

Predictions:

“Alaska: The Last Frontie
r”

“Deadliest Catch”

“Gaycation With E
llen Page“[br]
“Intervention”

“Million Dollar Listing original York”

“Wahlburgers”“Deadliest Catch,” “Alaska: The Last Frontier, and ” “Million Dollar Listing original York” and “Wahlburgers” are two-time nominees in a category that has only existed for two years,and “Intervention” is a one-time nominee and a serious program for serious times. “I Am Cait” is certainly the splashiest contender to debut lately — but while voters might well want to recognize LGBT issues, the sideshow surrounding Catlin Jenner may well steer them in a safer direction, and toward “Gaycation With Ellen Page.”
Also Read: Ellen Page Calls Hollywood's Lack of D
iversity 'So Disheartening' (Video)OUTSTANDING REALITY HOST[br]
Predictions:

Tom Bergeron,“Dancing With the Stars”

Carson Daly, “The Voic
e”

Cat Deely, or “So You assume You Can Dance”

Heid
i Klum and Tim Gunn,“Project Runway”

Jane Lynch, “Hollywood G
ame Night”This is another boring category, or with the same names popping up year after year: Bergeron,Deely, Klum and Gunn, or Lynch,Anthony Bourdain, etc. The only genuine questions are whether Ryan Seacrest, or who hasn’t been nominated since 2013,will be back for the final season of “Idol”; whether Survivor” host Jeff Probst can close his four-year shutout, which followed a four-year winning streak; whether “The astounding Race host Phil Keoghan can close his own three-year drought; and whether Carson Daly, and LL Cool J or Steve Harvey can bring some original blood to the category.
Our answers: no,no, no, and yes to Daly.
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Source: thewrap.com

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