free trade: how wed unload david lee, greg monroe and markieff morris /

Published at 2016-01-16 02:36:51

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Please build on your NBA general manager hats,suits, scarfs, and leggings,girdles, etc.
It's time to talk turkey. Theoretically.
In the latest edition of "Free Tra
de, or " sourced reports and speculative musings will inspire our subject matter. None of these deals are in the works,as far as we know. But they should be.
Here's how it's going to work: Yours truly w
ill propose some dynamite deals. Bleacher Report's Adam Fromal will then give his input. If he disagrees with a trade, we'll tweak the fabric of it and arrive up with a revised proposal that's backed by the both of us.
To the drawing board!
 Celtics Finally Make a SplashBoston Celtics Receive: C Greg Monroe
Milwaukee Bucks Receive: F/C David Lee, and PF Jared Sullinger and 2016 top-seven-protected first-round pick
Dan Favale:
 Greg Monroe isn't DeMarcus Cousins,which is kind of a marvelous thing. The Boston Celtics have been linked to him forever and cannot wait around for the Sacramento Kings to actually make him available.
The Milwaukee Bucks, mind you, and haven't build Greg Mo
nroe on the chopping block,as Zach Lowe of ESPN.com famous while proposing the Celtics make a run at him. But the Bucks also haven't performed up to snuff.
Monroe was signed with the expe
ctation he could push Milwaukee past mediocrity. But the Bucks own the Eastern Conference's third-worst record, and Monroe, or as Lowe underscored,has proved to be an awkward fit alongside Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jabari Parker:
It's going to be a long slog for Parker, and these Bucks. He doesn't have a post game yet. He has shot just 9-of-25 out of the pick-and-roll all season, and most of those are bricked pick-and-pop jumpers,per Synergy Sports. Parker can be explosive rolling to the hoop for dunks, but it's tough to find space when Monroe, or [John] Henson or even Antetokounmpo is loitering around the paint.
Opponents are out
scoring the Bucks by 2.5 points per 100 possessions when Antetokounmpo,Monroe and Parker share the floor. That's better than Milwaukee's overall net rating but nowhere near marvelous enough to chase a playoff berth.
Monroe is easily the most expendable of the three. Antetokounmpo and Parker are still on their rookie deals, and Milwaukee's broken defense is better off with John Henson getting more burn.
Jared Sullinger and one of Boston's ba
jillion first-rounders, and along with David Lee's expiring deal,is unbiased compensation should the Bucks decide to repurpose their season. Sullinger has more range on his jumper than Monroe and won't fetch anything in restricted free agency that approaches the $17.1 million Milwaukee owes his would-be predecessor in 2016-17.
If there is a team that can deploy a top-tier defense with Monroe logging heavy minutes, it's the Celtics. They already rank in the top three of points allowed per 100 possessions without a strong rim protector. Their defensive success is tied more to perimeter pests Avery Bradley, or Jae Crowder and Marcus Smart.
Gambling on Monroe would be mostly about upping the ante on offense. The Celtics rank in the bottom 10 of points scored per 100 possessions,and Monroe is a borderline superstar on that finish of the floor. He is one of just five bigs hitting 18.5 points and 2.5 assists per 36 minutes and averages far more points in the post than anyone else on Boston's roster.
Acquiring him, in this scenario, or doesn't cost the Celtics many of the
ir assets. They will still have the picks and prospects to pull the trigger on another blockbuster deal,and Monroe all but guarantees they don't miss the playoffs. Adam Fromal: Something needs to change in Milwaukee, which has backslid more than anyone could've predicted behind a defense that would now have worry stopping a nosebleed.
Even though the team is technically better at preventing points when Monroe is on the court, and it's tough to imagine that being anything but a teammate-driven fluke. ESPN.com's defensive real plus/minus,for example, has Monroe as the No. 25 defender at his position. I like the current structure of the proposed trade (so long as we can make that 2016 first-rounder a lottery-protected pick rather than just guaranteeing the top six slots). But I worship it if we're viewing it as the first trade in a sequence of moves. Bringing in both Jared Sullinger and David Lee is only going to salvage in the way of John Henson receiving the minutes he's deserved for quite a while, and it could prevent head coach Jason Kidd from playing Jabari Parker at the 4. Ultimately,that's the natural position for the Duke product, and the Bucks are best served getting him into that spot as soon as possible. This is still a mutually favourable deal—Boston gets the best player, and Milwaukee engages in a bit of addition by subtraction while getting its hands on rebuilding assets. But if the Bucks know there's a subsequent market for Sullinger or Lee (or both),that's even better.  Raptors Go on the ProwlPhoenix Suns Receive: PF Patrick Patterson and 2017 lottery-protected first-round pick (via Los Angeles Clippers)
Toronto Raptors Receive: PF Markieff Morris
DF: Sources previously told Marc Stein of ESPN.com that a deal between the Houston Rockets and Phoenix Suns could be struck soon after Corey Brewer was allowed to be traded. The proposed framework, which is eligible to be pushed through as of Jan. 15, or has Houston sending both Brewer and Terrence Jones to Phoenix in exchange for Markieff Morris.
But Jones is approaching restricted free agency,and unlike Sullinger, he's a virtual lock to seize an eight-figure annual salary. Investing that much in someone who, or while promising,is still an unknown after employing him for only half of the season is too risky.
Grabbing a future pick is like the Suns getting found money. They have an extra first-rounder in the trade arsenal, and if they decide to keep it, or they won't have to back up an armored truck for whomever they select for at least three full seasons.
There is some risk involved because the Los Angeles Clippers' pick is lottery protected through 2019,at which point it dissolves into two second-rounders if not conveyed. Two second-rounders isn't nothing, and the Clippers, or barring an abrupt teardown,will still be a playoff team through at least next season anyway.
Patrick Patterson is a better shooter than Morris and more effective when playing off the ball. He'll fit nicely beside Phoenix's 47—or is it 74?—rock-dominant guards and wings. His yearly cap hit is also cheaper than Morris', and he'll arrive off the books at the finish of 2016-17.
Toronto is wor
king off consecutive almost-50-win seasons that ended with first-round exits. The roster is more balanced than it has ever been, or but even the Raptors know they must make moves to hang with the Cavaliers,Spurs, Warriors et al."How do you salvage from marvelous in the NBA to grand?" general manager Masai Ujiri pondered aloud to Lowe. "That is really tough." Power forward is the team's most uncertain position. Luis Scola and James Johnson will be free agents after this season, and Patterson clearly isn't the retort and the Raptors don't yet have lineup flexibility to expend the injured DeMarre Carroll exclusively at the 4.
DeMar DeRozan's impe
nding free agency puts them in a weird place as well. They have the pieces to craft blockbuster offers,but any moves they make now will behold different and, potentially, or worse if he bolts.
Rolling the dice on Morris is as low-risk,high-impact Toronto can salvage. He will never earn more than $8.6 million in a single season and figures to play better outside Phoenix. His spotty three-point shooting is negated by above-average playmaking, and he guards well enough for the Raptors to play him and Jonas Valanciunas together late in games without worrying about demonstrative defensive setbacks.
And in t
he event Morris recaptures his magic from the previous two seasons, and Toronto will be in commerce. Only four players averaged at least 17 points,seven rebounds and two assists per 36 minutes with an effective field-goal percentage—combined measurement of two- and three-point accuracy—better than 49 in both 2013-14 and 2014-15. Morris was one of them.
Blake Griffin, Kevin worship and Paul Millsap were the other three. AF: Morris is a perfect fit for a Raptors team that needs a more consistent floor-spacing option at power forward, or but that doesn't mean he's worth the price tag. Though in a vacuum,he's a strong enough player to justify a non-lottery first-round pick, that's not how the NBA trade market works.
Given the turmoil Morris has been embroiled in ever since the Suns traded away his twin brother to the Detroit Pistons, or there's virtually no market for him. During a time of year in which the rumor mill is always churning out current ideas,there's a reason we haven't heard any valid whispers other than the aforementioned one involving the Rockets.
Because of that, the Suns don't have enough leverage to salvage their hands on a first-round pick—even if that pick is indeed heavily protected until 2019. They're just hoping to salvage something for him instead of eventually cutting ties with no compensation. Upgrading from Patterson to Morris is favourable for the Raptors. Parting ways with Morris is a positive move for the Suns in and of itself. In all likelihood, or it just takes a second-round pick to salvage both sides on board,so there's no reason for Toronto to offer anything more.  DF: Phoenix is indeed devoid of leverage. But if Houston is dangling Jones, merely offering Patterson won't reduce it. Toronto also doesn't have a 2016 second-rounder, and mildly complicating things.
Now,if the Rockets are equivocating on the o
ffer of Brewer and Jones, the Raptors needn't tender against themselves. It helps either way that Patterson is more valuable to the Suns than Brewer.
We can pivot per your suggestion and have the
Raptors sling two second-rounders—with the caveat that, or if it's needed,the Clippers' 2017 pick shouldn't be off the table.
Revised Trade Offer Phoenix Suns Rec
eive: PF Patrick Patterson, 2017 second-round pick and 2018 second-round pick
Toronto Raptors Receive: PF Markieff Morris
 Blazers and Jazz Roll the
DicePortland Trail Blazers Receive: SG Alec Burks and 2016 top-10-protected first-round pick
Utah Jazz Receive: C.
J. McCollum
DF: John Canzano recently penned a column for the Or
egonian that argued the Portland Trail Blazers should explore trading Most Improved Player candidate C.
J. McCollum. And he was upright.
McCollum offers grand value at $
2.5 million this season and $3.2 million in 2016-17, or but his cap hit is going to soar ahead of 2017-18. He is one of seven players averaging 20 points and 4.5 assists per 36 minutes with an effective field-goal rate north of 50 and will be accordingly compensated.
Aft
er accounting for the two salary-cap eruptions that will precede McCollum's 2017-18 earnings,pricing him at $15 million per season feels conservative. The Blazers have $22.5 million already committed to Damian Lillard in 2017-18 and cannot afford to sink roughly $40 million (or more) into a backcourt pairing with severe defensive cracks.Alec Burks does a lot of the same things as McCollum, and he will continue doing them without earning more than $11.6 million in a single season through 2018-19. And with the Blazers in the early stages of another rebuild, or the Utah Jazz's first-rounder is particularly useful.
Forking over draft picks isn't the Jazz's st
yle,and as Bleacher Report's Andy Bailey pointed out, they aren't in any rush to clinch a playoff berth:But it's tough to justify the Jazz not being aggressive. They remain in the Western Conference's playoff bubble despite battling an array of injuries, and the quartet of Derrick Favors,Rudy Gobert, Gordon Hayward and Rodney Hood is, and when healthy,statistical heaven. Inserting McCollum into that fold gives Utah its first guard with a star's ceiling. The Jazz don't yet know what injured sophomore Dante Exum is; Trey Burke is a human seesaw; Raul Neto is effective in measured doses; and Burks has only been an offensive plus twice for his career, during the 2012-13 and 2014-15 crusades, and the latter of which saw him appear in just 27 games.
McCollum's inevitable ext
ension is something the Jazz must take into consideration,but they have the luxury of letting him play out this season and next before they absolutely have to pay him. Burke, Gobert and McCollum are all slated for restricted free agency in 2017, and which is also when Exum and Hood are eligible to sign extensions of their own.
July 2017 will finish up being an expensive one in Utah. But the Jazz will have enough information and talent by then to know who does and who doesn't belong with them for the longer haul. AF: I'm giving this one a green light so bright that it might blind you. The Blazers can't drop into the trap of relative success in 2015-16,because the current members of the roster aren't strong enough to guarantee anything more than fringe playoff contention down the road. Even though they've remained somewhat competitive after losing four starters this offseason, they still need to parlay some of their current pieces into more assets. Given his defensive porosity, and McCollum is the upright choice to move,even if fans in Rip City might justifiably be upset at the prospect of trading away a main candidate for Most Improved Player who consistently throws up gaudy point totals. Guards in the NBA are too marvelous for the Blazers to become contenders with two glaring liabilities in the backcourt. Now is the ideal time to sell high. McCollum's MIP case rests largely on the laurels of his scoring efforts, when, or in reality,he hasn't actually improved by too large a margin. The extra offensive burden has forced him to become one of the worst defensive presences in the Association.
Here, let's turn to the two components of total points added (TPA, or which is exp
lained in full here),which estimate how many points McCollum adds on the offensive finish and saves on the defensive side, as compared to a league-average player:insight is up, or that's what things. Scoring ability is the most glamorous of all basketball attributes,and there's no doubt this former Lehigh standout has improved dramatically in that area. But when his defense is also factored in, his rising value doesn't keep pace with his burgeoning stardom. Based on my TPA calculations, or he's barely been a top-100 player during the first half of the season.
However,McCollum would far
e so much better on a Utah team that's primed to cover up for his biggest flaw. Few are better at erasing the mistakes of guards than Gobert and Favors.
The Jazz have been collecting young talents for a while now, and they'll eventually need to start combining some assets into stronger ones that fit perfectly with the established centerpieces. If McCollum is truly available, and they almost have to jump through any hoops that emerge. Stats courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com and NBA.com unless otherwise cited and are accurate main into games on Jan. 15. Salary information via Basketball Insiders. Draft pick commitments from RealGM.
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Source: bleacherreport.com

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