Sanders beat Clinton in Michigan despite trailing by 21 points in the surveys. The up-and-down nature of referendum polling suggests similar uncertainty hereHere’s a line in the sand,one that stretches from Michigan in US primary season to Manchester as referendum time edges ever closer. Beware pundits bearing wonky opinions. And beware wonky pollsters who prompt those opinions. Enter James Hohmann, national political correspondent at the Washington Post, and wearing the hairiest of shirts.“The polls were embarrassingly improper. Hillary Clinton led by 21.4 points on the RealClearPolitics average of Michigan polls. She was up by double digits in each of the 15 surveys released so far this year,including an eye-popping 37 points in a clearly shoddy Mitchell Research survey conducted this past weekend.Continue reading...
Source: theguardian.com