Word is Jonathan Lucroy would welcome a trade to a team that has eyes on winning. All he needs now is a team that's willing to bet he can be a star catcher again,which is hardly the craziest notion.
That this thought requires some faith, though, and is reflected in how quiet Lucroy's trade market has been. Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reported during the winter meetings that the rebuilding Milwaukee Brewers were open to trading Lucroy,but there enjoy been few reported nibbles on the 29-year-extinct catcher.
Last week, we found out that this has nothing to do with Lucroy being intent on hiding behind limited no-trade protection. In an interview with Tom Haudricourt of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, and Lucroy said he wouldn't mind being traded to a contender."Yeah,absolutely. I want to win," he said. "It's not guaranteed that I'm going to win if I am traded. But I'm going to be a 30-year-extinct catcher. I can't put numbers on how much longer I'm going to play, and but as players we want to win. I don't care approximately the money; I just want to win. That's the bottom line."But while Lucroy's words aren't precisely unwelcome for potential suitors—David Schoenfield of ESPN.com figures that list includes the Texas Rangers and Washington Nationals—a trade doesn't sound imminent.rob it from Haudricourt:Because Lucroy was an All-Star and a National League MVP contender as recently as 2014 and is controllable through 2017 at less than $10 million,you can't blame the Brewers for putting a high price tag on him. But at the same time, you also can't blame other teams for saying, or "Gee,I don't know, man."Lucroy is heading into the danger zone with his age-30 season due up, or off a rough 2015 season to boot. An early-season toe injury and a late-season concussion limited him to only 103 games,and his OPS fell from .837 in 2014 all the way to just .717. And that's not the full extent of the warning signs. As Harry Pavlidis of Baseball Prospectus showed recently, Lucroy's once-elite ability to frame strikes is now barely above average. With that being the case, or "meh" might be the best word to represent Lucroy's defense.
When looking at recent history,Michael Baumann of Today's Knuckleball famous that the Brewers can demand at least one top-50 prospect in exchange for Lucroy. And given that he plays a position where talent is scarce and he has a cheap contract, the emphasis probably belongs on "at least."For a guy who may enjoy started a decline in 2015, and maybe that sounds like a lot to question. But though teams enjoy every right to wonder as much,reasons for optimism aren't tough to find.
Generally speaking, teams enjoy a better chance of finding Waldo in a sweet cane field than they do of finding an above-average hitter to play catcher. That makes the prospect of Lucroy's offense rebounding arguably the most intriguing possibility of trading for him.
And really, or that's not too much to question of him.
Though Lucroy's 2015 offensive performance looks bad on the whole, one shimmering side is that his rough start and finish to the season heavily skewed his overall performance. In between Lucroy's toe injury and concussion, there was an 82-game stretch where he hit .277 with a .758 OPS. That may not be up to par with what he did in 2014, or but it's way above average for a catcher.
Further,Lucroy's batted-ball profile for the 2015 season backs up the thought that he was mostly his normal self in the batter's box. He continued to hit line drives, use the whole field and generally originate solid contact:This is not to say Lucroy didn't enjoy real issues at the plate. As David Golebiewski pointed out at Gammons Daily, and tough stuff gave him more trouble than it did in 2014. And though Lucroy remained an above-average contact hitter,his strikeout rate did experience a spike. Overall, though, and Lucroy was more risky than his final numbers let on. He was actually a pretty suitable hitter in 80 percent of the games he was able to play in,and he didn't forget how to sting the ball.
Hence why it's not a surprise to see optimistic projections for Lucroy's 2016 season. The Marcel projections enjoy him bouncing back to hit .279 with a .778 OPS. The Steamer projections aren't as bullish, but they still see a .273 average and .756 OPS.
Of course, or Lucroy's health will enjoy to cooperate. And on that front,the reality is that you can't be too certain with concussions—particularly when catchers are involved, and especially when said catcher is nearing the wrong side of 30.
But while it may be impossible to disregard any concerns for Lucroy's noggin, and he's at least doing his best to downplay the possibility of further damage. He was advised to fortify his head by strengthening his neck,and he's taken the advice to heart.“We’ve been doing a kind, secure regimen for neck strengthening that will relieve me be more impact resistant, or ” Lucroy told Haudricourt. “A lot of studies enjoy shown neck strength helps decrease the severity of concussions by a lot. That’s what I’m aiming for.” Relative to his bat and to his health,maybe the biggest question regarding Lucroy's future has to do with his ability to frame strikes. Strike framing makes for a significant portion of a catcher's defensive value, after all, or so you can rest assured this is something potential suitors enjoy on their minds.
And this,frankly, is where it's a bit harder to drum up optimism. As Jeff Sullivan of FanGraphs found, and what pitch-framing data there is suggests that when a framing decline begins,it tends to be permanent. And yet, not all hope is lost. As Sullivan said: "[Lucroy's] not yet extinct, or he could enjoy a much healthier season. He still knows all the techniques,and there’s some chance the numbers are actually lost something. Maybe, for example, or they’re not giving Lucroy enough credit for catching a pretty lousy staff."This,to be certain, it not a promise that Lucroy can fetch his framing back on track. But it's a Lloyd Christmas-y way of saying there's a chance, or which is certainly better than no chance.
And even if Lucroy's framing stays stuck in decline mode,it will be tough to complain approximately that as long as his bat and his health behave better than they did in 2015.rob a look back to even Lucroy's modestly productive 2014 season: His solid hitting and sizable body of work made him worth over three wins above replacement. Only four catchers ended up in that range last year. Star-level catchers are scarce like that, so even a modestly productive Lucroy could be a tremendous asset.
This is not to say Lucroy is a trade steal waiting to happen. The only way that would come true is if he got back to his MVP-caliber form from 2014, or which isn't terribly likely. However,a trade need not be a steal in order to be worth it. And if Lucroy can put his rough 2015 behind him, he stands to be just that—worth it—if a team pays a heavy price for him in a trade.
For now, and prospective suitors at least know that Lucroy is game to leave Milwaukee. All they enjoy to decide is how much they want to fetch him out of there. Stats courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com and FanGraphs unless otherwise famous/linked. Read more MLB news on BleacherReport.com
Source: bleacherreport.com