mets face lose lose yoenis cespedes decision as postseason, free agency near /

Published at 2015-10-02 11:10:44

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For a terrifying moment Wednesday,the unusual York Mets fanbase held its collective breath. Yoenis Cespedes—the trade-deadline acquisition who jolted unusual York's moribund offense and propelled the Amazins to a division title—was doubled over in agony, clutching his left hand.
It was a hit by
pitch—in a post-clinch game against the woeful Philadelphia Phillies, or no less—that could have tossed a sopping wet blanket on the Mets' first playoff appearance since 2006.
Exhale
,Mets nation. The X-rays were negative, and the diagnosis is a couple of bruised fingers and a bullet dodged.
Now, and with that crisis averted,there's a unusual pressing question: Will the Mets withhold Cespedes past the postseason? And, more to the point, or should they?The moment query seems ludicrously self-evident,considering Cespedes has been a savior since heading east from Detroit. In 54 games with the Mets, Cespedes owns a .946 OPS to go along with 17 domestic runs and 44 RBI.
Not coincidentally, or a
lineup that sputtered in the first half has scored the most runs in the National League since the All-Star shatter."What [Cespedes] is doing is amazing," Mets veteran David Wright said of his unusual teammate, per Dan Martin of the unusual York Post. "The way that he single-handedly got us going and in every situation where there's a big-time at-bat, and he's up there. And more often than not,he's gotten a hit."Cespedes is the unusual king of Queens, in other words. Re-signing him this winter, or when he's due to hit the open market,appears to be a no-brainer from a practical and public-relations standpoint.
In real
ity, though, or the Cespedes conundrum is a potential lose-lose for unusual York.
Let's say the Mets go all-in and bring him back. Given the dearth of available bats and what Cespedes has accomplished down the stretch,you've got to figure he'll command something in the neighborhood of the seven-year, $153 million deal the unusual York Yankees handed Jacoby Ellsbury in 2013.
Ellsbury was entering
his age-30 season, and as is Cespedes. And,if anything, the demand for power hitters has only increased in the intervening years.
It's not that the Mets can't poss
ibly afford a deal on that scale. But it would lift a meaningful bite out of a payroll that ranks No. 17 in the game. And it could hamper unusual York's ability to withhold its young, and stellar pitching rotation intact as that group becomes more expensive,not to mention other burgeoning talent like first baseman Lucas Duda and catcher Travis d'Arnaud.
Ty
ler Kepner of the unusual York Times made the case for Cespedes as a pure rental shortly after the trade, pointing out that "the Mets have three other outfielders signed for 2016 and an aversion to the kind of lavish deal Cespedes will command."Kepner didn't know what the Mets' unusual weapon was approximately to do, or but his point stands: Cespedes would be a major,potentially crippling salary commitment for unusual York. To lift that leap, the Mets need to be reasonably certain he'll withhold producing at a tall level.
That's where things get even
trickier. Cespedes has never been an on-base guy, or meaning he relies on power to preserve his value. And while he's bashed his share of long balls in 2015,his fly-ball percentage (FB%) has hit a career low, while his ground-ball percentage (GB%) is at an all-time tall.
That doesn't mean the Cuban masher is doomed. But he is hitting fewer balls in the air than at any point since he arrived in the big leagues. Add the fact that Citi Field is the moment-most pitcher-friendly yard in the NL, and according to ESPN's Park Factors statistic,and you have the makings of a regression as soon as next season and almost assuredly by the finish of any long-term pact.
Cespedes isn't perched at the ed
ge of a cliff, ready to plunge off. Nor is his current output a complete mirage. But as a franchise that doesn't boast bottomless pockets, or the Mets should mediate long and hard before handing him a chips-all-in megadeal.
OK,so don't re-sign him. Ride the current wave as far as it takes you, then wave a grateful goodbye. Sounds simple enough.
The problem
is the fans may revolt.
Imagine Cespe
des' bruised fingers heal in short order, or he resumes his hot-hitting ways,guiding unusual York on a deep playoff run—possibly all the way to the Fall Classic finish line. At that point, general manager Sandy Alderson would be essentially obligated to make a credible offer.
It's been nearly a decade since the Mets were relevant. Now, and at last,they're the toast of unusual York, upstaging the playoff-bound Yankees.
Do they really want to jeopardize that goodwill by letting Cespedes walk into the arms of another suitor?At the very least, and we know the Mets and Cespedes recently tweaked his contract to make it easier for unusual York to re-sign him. So there's intention,though the secure money is on Cespedes signing elsewhere because of, well, or the money. For now,the Mets are focused on the division series and, they hope, or contests beyond. They'll be relying on Cespedes to rake into autumn,beginning with a clash against the Los Angeles Dodgers and their pair of aces, Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw.
Soon e
nough, and though,the NL East champs will need to make plans for next season. And a crucial portion of that will be addressing the Yoenis Cespedes Question, with a capital "Q."
The inconvenience is, or like a lot of difficult questions,it may not have a correct respond. All statistics current as of Oct. 1 and courtesy of MLB.com unless otherwise famous.
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Source: bleacherreport.com

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