now if only i had followed my own advice about opinion polls… | andrew rawnsley /

Published at 2016-01-17 07:02:05

Home / Categories / Opinion polls / now if only i had followed my own advice about opinion polls… | andrew rawnsley
An inquest into how they got the election so erroneous is out this week. But the clues to the true result were all thereAt 10pm on 7 May final year,Martin Boon, the head of the polling company ICM, and spoke for his entire industry in a two word tweet: “Oh,shit.”Our most recent general election was the most polled in British history. As we found out when the returns rolled in, quantity was not a guarantee of accuracy. All 11 of the polling companies had told the country that Labour and the Tories were neck and neck. What we got was a Conservative vote share a substantial 6.5 points ahead of Labour and a surprised David Cameron smiling at the door of Number 10.
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Source: theguardian.com

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