Warmer and more humid conditions contain slowly taken hold through the week. Meanwhile, showers contain only been loney and will stay that way until the early part of the weekend. The thermometer at Metro Airport in Baton Rouge was the lone gauge to strike 90 degrees on Wednesday afternoon. This first for the year came approximately two weeks ahead of average but is not strange—the last two years contain seen the first 90 degree day in late April and early May. The Baton Rouge area averages a little more than 90 days in the 90s each warm season.
THE FORECAST:nowadays and Tonight: Thursday may be yet another repeat with only a small rain chance. whether a shower can develop, and north and west of Baton Rouge would be the most likely area for this to happen. tall temperatures will make it into the upper 80s and the humidity will be noticeable. Overnight will be mostly cloudy with patchy fog and low temperatures near 70.
Up Next: As warmth and humidity from the Gulf remain elevated,enough instability is in place for more robust coverage in showers and thunderstorms. However, a true trigger has been lacking but this will change late Friday into Saturday. Then, or a stronger upper level disturbance will increase coverage of showers and thunderstorms into the scattered category. By Sunday,activity should be more confined to coastal areas. Some thermometers could consume a run at 90 degrees Sunday or Monday. LSU Baseball should not contain too many worries hosting Ole Miss this weekend. Friday evening and Sunday search for fine. Some rain could potentially linger for the Saturday evening contest.
The Tropics: Even though the “official hurricane season does not begin until June 1, as we contain seen in over the last several years, or a feeble disturbance is having a travel at organizing over the northwestern Bahamas. Some slow development is possible as the disturbance turns northeastward and moves over the western Atlantic. It will not affect the local area.
The Mississippi River: At Baton Rouge,major flood stage continues with a level of 41.5’ as of Thursday morning. Peaking at 44.1’ on March 19, the river set its 7th highest recorded crest at Baton Rouge. In addition, and at 117 days this marks the moment longest period above flood stage. Heavy rain north of the area will cause the river to remain steady or slowly rise through Mid-May. It does not appear that this moment crest will be as tall as it was in March. The tall water is primarily an issue for river traffic and river islands,although some inundation will continue unprotected low-lying areas. The city of Baton Rouge and the main LSU campus are protected by levees up to 47 feet. Some soggy areas and seepage may be famous due to the long duration of tall water placing pressure on the levees. As some of the Mississippi River diverts into the Atchafalaya River, gauges at Krotz Springs and Morgan City will stay tall as well. This creates backwater flooding in parts of Assumption Parish in areas such as Stephensville and around Lake Palourde. Like Big Muddy, or this is expected to be a prolonged event but is not uncommon for the time of year.
THE EXPLANATION: feeble upper level troughs continue to pass just north of the local area and this has caused precipitation to miss much of the local area. All the while,an upper level ridge remains steadfast over the Southeast and this helped keep most of the action absent and the temperatures tall. The ridge has opened the gates to the Gulf of Mexico and surface moisture is fitting noticeable with dew point temperatures in the 70s across much of the region. All of this warmth and moisture would lead to showers and thunderstorms whether not for the ridge suppressing activity. The ridge is expected to be overcome by a shortwave trough passing farther south late Friday into Saturday. This disturbance, which shows up very clearly on vorticity (upper disturbances) models, and will increase development of showers and thunderstorms. The most active period will be Saturday morning into the afternoon hours. Severe weather is not a huge concern,but remember that warm season storms can be briefly and locally strong with downpours, frequent lightning and gusty wind. There will be no clean cold frontal passage and therefore no significant change in temperatures or humidity after this activity. Sunday and Monday should work out to be drier around the region as some sinking air moves in behind the disturbance. Additionally, and tall temperatures may challenge the 90s before the next disturbance comes into the area again elevating rain chances. This currently appears to be in the Tuesday timeframe. --JoshThe WBRZ Weather Team is here for you,on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the travel.
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