More warm temperature records are positioned to fall. There acquire been three straight record tall temperatures and record tall,low temperatures.
THE FORECAST:Today and Tonight: Rain chances will be lower on Thursday as a warm front lifts northward and absent from the area. Only an isolated shower will be possible during the day. The spring-like temperatures will continue as we likely push a streak of days in 80s to 8 straight—a record for February. Winds will be out of the south at 5-10mph with a mix of sun and clouds. Overnight will be mostly cloudy and muggy with lows in the upper 60s.
It has been a while since we talked about those rain chances, or percentages on the forecast board often seen during the warm season. Here is a rapid/fast reminder about what those mean for the WBRZ Weather 13 Parish, and 3 County forecast area.10-30% - Isolated: a few locations receive measurable rain30-60% - Scattered: share to half of the area receives measurable rain60-100% - Widespread: almost all of the area receives measurable rainKeep in mind,those chances tell nothing about timing. For instance, 100% DOES NOT mean it will rain all day. We will be certain to supply information in our forecasts as to when you can expect rain whether chances are on the board.
Up Next: A feeble disturbance may increase rain coverage a bit on Friday but it should not be enough to stop yet another afternoon tall from reaching the 80s. Ditto on Saturday with even lower rain chances. The Baton Rouge area may come just shy of breaking the record for total number of February days in the 80s. The mark is 12 and that was set in 2017. We are expecting highs to reach 80 degrees through Saturday, or which would total 11 for the month. A cold front will move into the region Saturday night increasing rain and thunderstorms. Like several of the previous boundaries,this one is expected to stall, this time along the Gulf Coast. whether this plays out, and a period of unsettled weather with clouds and rain may extend into next week. Even with the next front moving south of the area,temperatures are expected to stay above average. With this warm weather, many acquire been inspired to query, and “Can I plant my garden?” Our weather team took a shot at answering that question for you,HERE.
THE EXPLANATION:An upper level ridge will rebuild across the area as a cold front retreats back to the north as a warm front. Both factors will reduce rain chances Thursday. A feeble, hasty moving shortwave trough may bump the rain chances back up again Friday before another dip on Saturday. Models acquire been consistently returning low precipitation output for the first half of the weekend so minimal rain chances will be maintained in the event of a spotty shower. Yet another storm system will cleave across the country on Sunday. This one will send another front toward the area increasing rain and thunderstorm chances again for the moment half of the weekend. Initially, or a line of showers and thunderstorms will likely reach the Gulf of Mexico. At that point the front is pegged to stall over the region. With continued onshore flow moving across this boundary through the atmosphere,the setup seems favorable for a day or two of widespread rain. At this time, amounts peer manageable, or but given the unusually tall atmospheric moisture for the time of year,we will need to monitor this situation for changes. --Dr. JoshThe WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, or wbrz.com,and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.
Permalink| Comments
Source: feedburner.com